Minimizing Uncertainty

Toward a Key Risk Indicator Index for Transformational AI

Executive Summary

May 11 • 

Malcolm Murray

5

AI Risk Management Can Learn a Lot From Other Industries

AI risk may have unique elements, but there is still a lot to be learned from cybersecurity, enterprise, financial, and environmental risk management.

May 5 • 

Malcolm Murray

1

A Superforecaster’s View on AGI

By 2030, we will have countries of geniuses in data centers, but we won’t know what to do with them.

May 4 • 

Malcolm Murray

1

1

Fermi Redux – Where is All the AI-Enabled Cybercrime?

Cross-posted from 3 Quarks Daily.

May 3 • 

Malcolm Murray

2

1

January 2025

o3 and the Death of Prediction

Oops.

Jan 18 • 

Malcolm Murray

5

1

December 2024

The Societal Balancing Act for AI Regulation

The world does not lend itself well to steady states.

Dec 30, 2024 • 

Malcolm Murray

AI Risk in the 2nd Trump Era

What does the election of Trump mean for risks to society from advanced AI?

Dec 30, 2024 • 

Malcolm Murray

The Strawman Factory in the AI Risk Debate

There is a strawman factory smack in the middle of the AI risk debate.

Dec 30, 2024 • 

Malcolm Murray

September 2024

Why Climate Change and Advanced AI are the Only Risks That Matter in the 21st Century

In the 21st century, only two risks matter – climate change and advanced AI.

Sep 25, 2024 • 

Malcolm Murray

1

The Three Battlelines for AI Safety

The battle lines are drawn.

Sep 4, 2024 • 

Malcolm Murray

1

The Shifting Nature of AI Risk

As AI evolves, so do the risks it poses on society.

Sep 4, 2024 • 

Malcolm Murray

June 2024

Comments on NIST's GenAI profile

The National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) recently released draft documents relating to their work on President Biden’s Executive Order…

Jun 3, 2024 • 

Malcolm Murray